Depression upgraded to Tropical Storm Michael

Tropical wave could affect western Caribbean

The current forecast has the storm reaching the USA mainland in western Florida as a Category 1 hurricane sometime Wednesday. Air Force Hurricane Hunters are flying through Michael on Sunday afternoon and we'll begin to see a more complete picture of what the storm is doing tonight.

As it moves over warmer water and experiences less wind shear, additional strengthening is expected.

The Hurricane Center predicts that Michael will reach hurricane intensity with 80 miles per hour (or Category 1) winds by Tuesday, increasing to 100 miles per hour by Wednesday (or Category 2) around the time of landfall.

The storm was about 90 miles (145 kilometers) south of Cozumel, Mexico by mid-day Sunday.

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So what can we expect in metro Atlanta and north Georgia?

. By Sunday afternoon, the Miami-based forecasting center said, Michael had gained more punch and the threat to the northeast U.S. Gulf Coast was rising. A warning indicates tropical storm conditions are expected, in this case, within 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued over the northeastern portion of Mexico's Yucatan Penninsula and the western portions of Cuba have been issued in advance of the storm. It is still too soon for specifics. Leslie became a subtropical storm on September 23 but weakened into depression then back into a tropical storm and then a hurricane. "Waves of showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage by Tuesday, with local impacts continuing through at least Thursday morning before Tropical Storm Michael accelerates northeastward towards the Carolinas on Thursday". When plotted together on a map, the flowing together of the multiple models appear like strands of spaghetti - hence the name, "spaghetti models".

On the forecast track, the centre will move through the Yucatan Channel Monday morning and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through Wednesday.

Just past the peak of Hurricane Season, Northwest Florida is watching a tropical depression off the east coast of Mexico near Belize.

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