Kirk intensifies back into a Tropical Storm

GOES-East satellite image of disturbance off the Carolinas on Sept. 25 2018

A release sent to the media yesterday said Kirk was about 755 km east of Barbados and was moving at 30 km an hour. Because hurricane preparedness activities become hard once winds reach tropical storm force, the Watch is issued 48 hours in advance of the onset of tropical storm force winds.

Tropical Storm Kirk was 415 miles east of Barbados and about 535 miles east-southeast of Martinique.

Since then, Kirk's leftovers have generally stuck together as they have continued to truck westward toward the Caribbean.

A tropical storm is a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 miles per hour. As of the 11 AM advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Kirk has maximum sustained winds of 50 miles per hour.

US weather officials are issuing advisories and warnings for Hurricane Rosa and Tropical Storm Kirk. "On the forecast track, the centre will move over the Lesser Antilles within the Tropical Storm Warning area Thursday night". As it crosses into the Caribbean Sea, wind shear is expected to weaken the storm back to a depression.

Unlike other countries such as Barbados, St Lucia, and St Vincent & the Grenadines, no tropical storm Warnings or Watches has been issued for the BVI. Kirk will eventually be located south of an area of high pressure near Bermuda.

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The longer-term forecast doesn't keep Kirk around for too long.

Finally, Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie, in the central Atlantic, has a 70 percent chance of becoming organized again over the next five days.

Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning area by Thursday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Thursday afternoon or evening.

Kirk is expected to produce total rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 10 across the northern Windward and southern Leeward Islands from Barbados and St. Lucia northward across Martinique, Dominica, and Guadeloupe.

These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides on the islands.

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